1 · Weekly Stochastic%K(14), current week
On6.6needs < 10
0trigger 10100
Bitcoin accumulation zone
Four levels.
Each rarer, each stronger.
Every result since 2015.
A zone lights up when Bitcoin is deeply oversold and at least 50% under its all-time high. Below its 2-year average it becomes a strong zone. When weekly oscillators confirm it, the bottom is confirmed — and when the cycle score agrees too, that is the maximum confirmation. Every past signal is here, good and bad.
Zone statusDaily close · 14 Nov 2026
Not active
No level is active today
BTC / USD$64,114
Last signal25 Jun 2026
Zonelast 25 Jun 2026
Strong zonelast 25 Jun 2026
Bottom confirmedlast 15 Feb 2026
Max confirmationlast 15 Feb 2026
Signals use daily closes · checked every hour
Signal tracker
After the strong-zone signal of 25 Jun 2026
Day142 of 180
Signal price$59,696
Daily close 14 Nov 2026$64,114 +7.4%
Lowest close since$58,526 −2.0%30 Jun 2026
Levels for buying in parts
−20%$47,757
Not reached−35%$38,803
Not reachedIf BTC closes at one of these levels, Telegram subscribers get an alert. Shown for 180 days after a signal; a new signal restarts the count.
Every signal since 2015, in four colours
Drag to move, scroll or pinch to zoom. Turn levels on or off to see only the ones you care about. Tap a row in the tables to jump to that signal.
Cycle score, 0–100 (dashed: 60, 75, 85)
Hover or tap the chart to see a day.
What the four levels mean
Bitstamp BTC/USD daily candles; the cycle score starts in November 2015, when 200 weeks of history become available.
The four conditions, right now
A zone signal needs conditions 1–3 on the same daily close (2 of 3 now). Condition 4 turns it into a strong zone.
2 · Bollinger BandsDaily close vs lower band (20, 2)
On−5.2%below the band
Lower band$67,619
Close$64,114
3 · DrawdownFrom all-time high $126,272
Off−49.2%needs −50%
0%triggers at $63,136−100%
4 · 2-year averageStrong-zone filter
On−28.2%below it
2-year average$89,314
Close$64,114
Bottom confirmation, right now
Level 3 needs 2 of 4 weekly oscillators within 30 days of a strong zone. Level 4 also needs a cycle score of 85 or more.
Weekly oscillators
closed week 2 – 8 Nov 20261 of 4level 3 needs 2
RCI (7)−96.4needs < −85
CCI (20)+25.7needs < −150
RSI (14)47.9needs < 28
Bollinger (20, 2)+0.14σneeds < −2σ
Cycle score
daily close 14 Nov 202673of 100 · level 4 needs 85
Built from the Puell Multiple, price against the 200-week and 2-year averages, weekly RSI and the drop from the all-time high. It reached 87–100 at every bottom from 2018 to 2022.
Days without a signal
142 Since 25 Jun 2026 · last signal (strong zone) at $59,696
Pauses between signals since 2015
This pause, so far142 days
Median pause87 days
Aug 2015 → Feb 2018902 days
Nov 2022 → Feb 20261,184 days
Signals come in clusters: 11 of 19 pauses were shorter than five months — then nothing for years.
How far is the zone?
Daily close · 14 Nov 2026The drawdown condition starts at $63,136 — 1.5% below today’s close. The close is already under the lower Bollinger band. The strong-zone filter is already met: the price is 28.2% under its 2-year average.
Last signal$59,696
Now$64,114
All-time high$126,272
$63,136−50% from ATH
$67,619Lower Bollinger
$89,3142-year average
Drawdown condition metWeekly Stochastic has no single price level: it depends on the whole 14-week range.
If you had bought at every signal
Signals
Starting from
Per signal
20 signals · invested$2,000
Worth today · 0.9916 BTC$63,577
×31.8
Compared with spreading the same money into weekly buys, buying at the signals finished −13% behind. The signal times entries; it does not promise to beat simply buying regularly.
Value at the 14 Nov 2026 close ($64,114). Bitstamp daily closes, bought at each signal’s close, no fees. Weekly buys: every 7 days from 1 January of the start year. Early signals dominate the total: Bitcoin cost a few hundred dollars in 2015.
Latest signals
All 20 signals →| Signal date | Level | Price | After 3 months | After 12 months |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun 2026 | Strong zone | $59,696 | +41% | Jun 2027 |
| 5 Jun 2026 | Strong zone | $61,042 | +33% | Jun 2027 |
| 5 Feb 2026 | Strong zone | $62,795 | +30% | Feb 2027 |
| 9 Nov 2022 | Strong zone | $15,877 | +46% | +131% |
| 12 Jun 2022 | Strong zone | $26,585 | −18% | −3% |
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